Fig. 3

Reverse survival curves for the first therapy session. PNP psychiatry-neurology-psychotherapy, UC usual care. We predicted the likelihood for patients that were on sick leave 1, 2, 3, 4 or 5 month for each health plan based on the coefficients of the PWP-gap time model. The labels show the estimated likelihood of receiving the first psychotherapy session within 90, 180, 270 and 360 days. The curves were plotted only for the comparison of usual care (UC) with the specialists’ program